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Polymarket traders assign 0% probability of any Fed rate change in March 2026 — the strongest consensus possible
$266M in trading volume backs this conviction, making it one of the most heavily-bet Fed decisions ever
March 19 FOMC meeting will likely confirm the 'hold' stance amid sticky inflation and resilient employment
Primary risk: Unexpected economic shock could force emergency action, though market views this as extremely unlikely
11-day prediction window captures the March FOMC meeting and immediate market reaction
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