The League of Legends Pro League (LPL) Group Perseverance match features Ninjas in Pyjamas (NIP) facing off against EDward Gaming (EDG) in a Best of 3 (BO3) format on January 28, 2026. The prediction market has assigned a 0% probability to NIP winning, indicating strong market consensus favoring EDward Gaming.
Current Situation
EDward Gaming enters this match as overwhelminging favorites according to Polymarket prediction markets, with over $1.5 million in trading volume and $787,128 in liquidity. The 0% probability price point suggests market participants view a NIP victory as virtually impossible in this Group Perseverance stage match.
Market Analysis
The prediction market data shows:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Probability (NIP Win) | 0% |
| Trading Volume | $1,559,082 |
| Liquidity | $787,128 |
| Match Format | Best of 3 (BO3) |
| End Date | January 28, 2026 |
Key Factors
The prediction market's 0% probability for a Ninjas in Pyjamas victory reflects several potential factors:
Roster Disparity: EDward Gaming may field a stronger starting lineup with established star players, while NIP could be running substitute or academy roster players in this Group Perseverance match.
Recent Form: EDG's recent performance in LPL competition likely demonstrates superior team coordination, draft strategies, and in-game decision-making compared to NIP's current form.
Historical Matchup: The head-to-head record between these organizations may heavily favor EDward Gaming, contributing to the market's extreme confidence in an EDG victory.
Tactical Preparation: EDG's coaching staff and analysts may have identified exploitable weaknesses in NIP's playstyle, leading to the market's conviction that EDG will secure a 2-0 or 2-1 victory.
Prediction
Direction: Bearish
Probability: 0%
Horizon: 1 day (January 28, 2026)
Answer: No
The prediction market has assigned a 0% probability to Ninjas in Pyjamas defeating EDward Gaming in this LPL Group Perseverance match. With over $1.5 million in trading volume and substantial liquidity, the market expresses near-universal confidence that EDward Gaming will win this Best of 3 series.
