The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks are set to face off in the NFC Championship Game on January 25, 2026. This matchup marks a significant chapter in the longstanding NFC West rivalry between these two teams. The Polymarket prediction market currently gives the Rams a 44% probability of defeating the Seahawks, indicating a closely contested game.
Current Situation
The Seahawks enter the NFC Championship dealing with a significant setback in their backfield. Running back Zach Charbonnet has been ruled out for the season with an injury, placing additional pressure on Kenneth Walker III to carry the rushing attack. According to ESPN, Walker has been on a roll recently, which will be crucial for Seattle's offensive production against a tough Rams defense.
The Rams, meanwhile, have been building momentum throughout the playoff campaign. Their balanced offensive attack and defensive improvements have positioned them well for this critical matchup.
Team Performance Analysis
Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks' running game faces its toughest test of the postseason with Charbonnet sidelined. Kenneth Walker III must deliver a signature performance to keep Seattle's offense balanced and prevent the Rams from teeing off on the passing game. The team's ability to establish the run will be pivotal in controlling tempo and keeping the Rams' offense off the field.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams enter this game with momentum and confidence. Their defensive scheme has been effective against running backs all season, and they'll look to exploit the Seahawks' diminished backfield. The Rams' offensive versatility allows them to attack mismatches and capitalize on Seattle's defensive adjustments.
Key Factors
The NFC Championship will likely be decided by three critical factors: Kenneth Walker III's effectiveness against the Rams' run defense, the Seahawks' ability to compensate for Charbonnet's absence, and the Rams' capacity to capitalize on Seattle's injury-depleted offense. The running game battle will be the chess match to watch, as the Seahawks must establish Walker to open up play-action opportunities.
The Polymarket trading volume of $2,306,405 reflects significant market interest in this matchup. The 44% probability for the Rams suggests that while the Seahawks may be slight favorites, this game is essentially a toss-up with either team capable of emerging victorious.
Prediction
Direction: Leaning Seahawks
Probability: 56%
Horizon: 1 day (January 25, 2026)
Answer: No
The Seahawks face adversity with Charbonnet's injury, but Kenneth Walker III's recent form and the home field advantage in Seattle provide the edge. The Rams' 44% probability indicates this will be a closely fought contest, but the Seahawks' running game resilience and home crowd give them a slight advantage in this NFC West showdown.
Sources: Polymarket Prediction Market