Torrez "The Punisher" Finney has never lost a professional fight. Not once in 11 bouts. Now he walks into UFC 325 on January 31, 2026, in Sydney, Australia -- enemy territory -- as the betting underdog against Jacob "Mamba" Malkoun (8-3). The oddsmakers are essentially asking: does octagon experience outweigh an unblemished record?
Current Fighter Records
| Fighter | Record | UFC Record | Nickname | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrez Finney | 11-0-0 | 1-0-0 | "The Punisher" | Middleweight (185 lbs) |
| Jacob Malkoun | 8-3-0 | 4-3-0 | "Mamba" | Middleweight (185 lbs) |
Torrez Finney Profile
At 28 years old, Finney out of Macon, Georgia, is the kind of fighter that makes matchmakers nervous -- undefeated with a 16-fight winning streak including amateur bouts. He cracked into the UFC on April 5, 2025, at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy, grinding out a split decision over three rounds. It wasn't flashy, but split decisions on debut tell you something: this guy competes when the pressure is highest.
Jacob Malkoun Profile
Malkoun, 30, fights in front of his home crowd in Sydney. His UFC tenure since 2020 shows a 4-3 record, including a decision win over Nick Maximov. The numbers paint a workmanlike picture: 56% striking accuracy, 37.5% finish rate, and a 73-inch reach. That finishing rate is the number to circle -- Malkoun wins, but he rarely puts opponents away.
Betting Odds and Market Sentiment
Here's where things get interesting. Malkoun is the betting favorite at -130 to -180, with Finney priced as the underdog at +110 to +150. But at least one model pegs Malkoun's actual win probability at just 49.27% -- essentially a coin flip. The books and the data are telling two different stories.
The prediction landscape is split:
- Rotowire picks Finney to stay undefeated
- Yahoo Sports also favors Finney
- The Stats Zone notes Malkoun's lack of finishing ability, suggesting Finney will "spam takedowns" seeking an early ground stoppage
- DocSports has Malkoun priced as the favorite at -130
- Action Network points out Malkoun's UFC wins all came against opponents he could physically dominate
Fighting Styles and Matchup
This is a classic prospect-vs-veteran matchup. Finney brings undefeated momentum and what appears to be a wrestling-heavy attack plan. Malkoun counters with octagon seasoning and volume striking -- 3.86 significant strikes landed per minute with 52% striking defense.
The wild card? Location. Malkoun fights at home in Australia, and crowd energy in MMA isn't just noise -- it's adrenaline. But Finney's undefeated record means he's been in pressure cookers before and hasn't cracked yet. If you're betting on experience versus hunger, this fight is the textbook case study.
Prediction
Direction: Bullish (Finney) Probability: 65% Horizon: 1 day (January 31, 2026) Answer: Yes
Finney's wrestling pedigree is the difference-maker here. Against a fighter who finishes opponents just 37.5% of the time, Finney's "spam takedown" strategy has a clear path to victory. Malkoun's reach and home crowd advantage are real, but they're not enough to offset an undefeated fighter whose ground game should neutralize the stand-up threat. Expect Finney to grind out a decision or find a ground-and-pound finish -- and keep that zero intact.
