đŸ›ī¸ Political Predictions271 articles

Political Predictions & Election Analysis

Follow AI-generated political predictions covering elections, policy decisions, geopolitical conflicts, and government actions. Analysis backed by Polymarket prediction market data.

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Latest Political Predictions Articles

Iran Supreme Leader Succession in 2026: 50% Market Probability for Khamenei Replacement
50%

Will Iran Name a New Supreme Leader by March 31, 2026?

Iran Supreme Leader Succession in 2026: 50% Market Probability for Khamenei Replacement

Colombia Senate Election 2026: Conservative Party at 96% Market Probability with 5M in Bets
96%

Will the Conservative Party win the Colombia Senate Election?

Colombia Senate Election 2026: Conservative Party at 96% Market Probability with 5M in Bets

Paris Mayoral Election March 2026: 33% Market Probability as $10.5M in Bets Track Uncertain Race
35%

Will the Paris Mayoral Election produce a winner by March 31, 2026?

Paris Mayoral Election March 2026: 33% Market Probability as $10.5M in Bets Track Uncertain Race

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 11% Market Probability as $25M in Bets Track US Military Campaign
8%

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 11% Market Probability as $25M in Bets Track US Military Campaign

Federal Reserve Rate Decision in March 2026: 0% Probability as Markets Price Hold
98%

Will the Federal Reserve make a rate decision in March 2026?

Federal Reserve Rate Decision in March 2026: 0% Probability as Markets Price Hold

US Forces Enter Iran: 50% Market Odds as $10M Volume Tracks Military Escalation
50%

Will US forces enter Iran?

US Forces Enter Iran: 50% Market Odds as $10M Volume Tracks Military Escalation

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 15% Market Probability as Operation Epic Fury Intensifies
15%

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 15% Market Probability as Operation Epic Fury Intensifies

Elon Musk's X Posting Forecast: 50+ Daily Tweets Unlikely for March 3-10, 2026
5%

Will Elon Musk average 50+ tweets per day from March 3-10, 2026?

Elon Musk's X Posting Forecast: 50+ Daily Tweets Unlikely for March 3-10, 2026

US-Iran Ceasefire by March 2026: 42% Market Probability as $9.5M Volume Tracks Conflict Resolution
35%

Will there be a US-Iran ceasefire by March 2026?

US-Iran Ceasefire by March 2026: 42% Market Probability as $9.5M Volume Tracks Conflict Resolution

Iranian Regime Fall by March 31, 2026: 16% Market Probability Analysis
18%

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31, 2026?

Iranian Regime Fall by March 31, 2026: 16% Market Probability Analysis

Elon Musk X Posts: 100+ Tweets Target for February 27-March 6 at 50% Market Odds
50%

Will Elon Musk tweet 100+ times between February 27 and March 6, 2026?

Elon Musk X Posts: 100+ Tweets Target for February 27-March 6 at 50% Market Odds

Ayatollah Khamenei Supreme Leader Status March 2026: 100% Market Odds of Exit After Operation Epic Fury
100%

Will Ayatollah Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through March 2026?

Ayatollah Khamenei Supreme Leader Status March 2026: 100% Market Odds of Exit After Operation Epic Fury

US-Israel Iran Strike: 49% Market Odds as Operation Epic Fury Resolves Who Hit First
50%

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

US-Israel Iran Strike: 49% Market Odds as Operation Epic Fury Resolves Who Hit First

US-Iran Ceasefire by March 2026: 59% Probability as $2.7M Market Tracks Diplomatic Off-Ramp
62%

Will the US and Iran Reach a Ceasefire by March 2026?

US-Iran Ceasefire by March 2026: 59% Probability as $2.7M Market Tracks Diplomatic Off-Ramp

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 37% Probability as $10M Market Tracks Fallout
35%

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Iranian Regime Collapse by March 31: 37% Probability as $10M Market Tracks Fallout

Elon Musk Tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026: $4M Market Analysis
95%

Will the February 27, 2026 SpaceX Starlink launch be successful?

Elon Musk Tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026: $4M Market Analysis

Fed Rate Decision March 2026: 0% Probability of Cut Despite Falling Inflation
95%

Will the Fed cut interest rates in March 2026?

Fed Rate Decision March 2026: 0% Probability of Cut Despite Falling Inflation

The US Striking Iran Before March 2026: 50% Probability Analysis
50%

Will the US Strike Iran Before March 2026?

The US Striking Iran Before March 2026: 50% Probability Analysis

Fed Decision in March 2026: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$143M Market Analysis]
99%

Fed decision in March?

Fed Decision in March 2026: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$143M Market Analysis]

The Trump-Indonesia Trading Deal Boost US Manufacturing in 2026: Political Analysis & Forecast
65%

Will the Trump-Indonesia Trade Deal Boost US Manufacturing in 2026?

The Trump-Indonesia Trading Deal Boost US Manufacturing in 2026: Political Analysis & Forecast

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination: Will It Happen by February 20, 2026?
7%

Will Judy Shelton Be Nominated Fed Chair by February 20, 2026?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination: Will It Happen by February 20, 2026?

Trump Rescind the DACA Program? 69% Probability Analysis — 2026 Update
69%

Will Trump rescind the DACA program?

Trump Rescind the DACA Program? 69% Probability Analysis — 2026 Update

Trump Impose Universal Baseline Tariffs in 2026? 68% Probability Analysis
68%

Will Trump impose universal baseline tariffs?

Trump Impose Universal Baseline Tariffs in 2026? 68% Probability Analysis

Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge 10% on Chinese Goods in 2026 Threshold — Trade Policy Analysis
65%

Will Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge Exceed 10% on Chinese Goods in 2026?

Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge 10% on Chinese Goods in 2026 Threshold — Trade Policy Analysis

Social Media Platforms Illicit Drug Trafficking by 2027 Crackdown — Drug Policy Analysis
65%

Will Social Media Platforms Successfully Combat Illicit Drug Trafficking by 2027?

Social Media Platforms Illicit Drug Trafficking by 2027 Crackdown — Drug Policy Analysis

Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader by February 28? 3% Probability Analysis [Iran Leadership]
3%

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Khamenei Out as Supreme Leader by February 28? 3% Probability Analysis [Iran Leadership]

Fed Decision in March 2026: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$143M Market Analysis]
99%

Fed decision in March?

Fed Decision in March 2026: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$143M Market Analysis]

Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge Resilience Against Legal Challenges in 2026: Constitutional Analysis
35%

Will Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge Survive Legal Challenges in 2026?

Trump's Temporary Import Surcharge Resilience Against Legal Challenges in 2026: Constitutional Analysis

Federal Reserve March 2026 Decision: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$150M Market Analysis]
99%

Fed decision in March?

Federal Reserve March 2026 Decision: 99% Probability of Status Quo [$150M Market Analysis]

Elon Musk's Average Tweets Per Day in 2026: Will He Hit the 50-Post Target This Week?
48%

Will Elon Musk average 50+ tweets per day during February 17-24, 2026?

Elon Musk's Average Tweets Per Day in 2026: Will He Hit the 50-Post Target This Week?

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